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Ordon M. et al., 2025: The Impact of Timing of Definitive Intervention for Patients with Acute Renal Colic: A Population-Based Study.

Michael Ordon 1 2 3, Sarah Bota 3 4, Yuguang Kang 3 4, Blayne Welk 3 4 5 6
1Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
2Temerty Faculty of Medicine, Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
3ICES, London, Canada.
4London Health Sciences Centre, Lawson Health Research Institute, London, Canada.
5Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Western University, London, Canada.
6Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Western University, London, Canada.

Abstract

Objective: To determine the impact of early intervention (EI) vs delayed intervention/expectant management for patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with renal colic. Methods: We conducted a population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada, utilizing linked administrative health data. Patients presenting to an ED with renal colic between April 1, 2010, and June 30, 2020, were included. Patients were divided into two groups. The EI group underwent shockwave lithotripsy, ureteroscopy, or percutaneous nephrolithotomy within 2 weeks of presentation. The delayed intervention/expectant management (non-EI) group represented all other patients, including those who did not receive intervention. Patients were followed forward in time for 3 months in the EI group and for 4 weeks postintervention or 3 months (whichever was longer) in the non-EI group, to assess for our outcomes. The outcomes included additional ED visits, hospitalizations, or imaging studies, stent/nephrostomy insertion, and urologist/primary care visits. These outcomes were compared across the two groups using a propensity score-matched generalized linear model with generalized estimating equations. Results: There were 397,185 index renal colic events (after propensity score matching EI = 27,741, non-EI = 80,230). The EI group had a lower risk for additional ED visits (relative risk (RR): 0.70, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.68-0.72, p < 0.001) and hospital admissions (RR: 0.52, 95% CI: 0.50-0.55, p < 0.001) compared with the non-EI group. Similarly, the EI group had a lower risk for stent (RR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.54-0.71, p < 0.001) or nephrostomy insertion (RR: 0.49, 95% CI: 0.42-0.57, p < 0.001), however, there was no difference for additional imaging. The EI group had a slightly increased risk for urologist/primary care visit (RR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.02-1.03, p < 0.001). In the non-EI group, 17.31% underwent eventual intervention. Conclusion: Our study demonstrated a benefit to EI for those presenting with renal colic to the ED, but potentially with the risk of exposing some patients to unneeded treatment. These findings could influence practice patterns and guideline recommendations.

J Endourol. 2025 Jul;39(7):708-715. doi: 10.1089/end.2024.0657. Epub 2025 Jun 2.
PMID: 40452579

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Comments 1

Peter Alken on Wednesday, 27 August 2025 11:00

Here is the typical limit of cohort studies using administrative data:
“The benefits of early intervention, “… however, potentially come with the risk of exposing some patients to unneeded treatment, as only 17.31% of those in the non-EI group went on to require intervention. The low rate of intervention is presumably the result of most patients in the non-EI group passing their stones effectively. Unfortunately, because of the nature of the administrative data utilized in this study, we do not have access to the stone size and location, both key determinants in whether a trial of spontaneous passage is offered to patients.“

Peter Alken

Here is the typical limit of cohort studies using administrative data: “The benefits of early intervention, “… however, potentially come with the risk of exposing some patients to unneeded treatment, as only 17.31% of those in the non-EI group went on to require intervention. The low rate of intervention is presumably the result of most patients in the non-EI group passing their stones effectively. Unfortunately, because of the nature of the administrative data utilized in this study, we do not have access to the stone size and location, both key determinants in whether a trial of spontaneous passage is offered to patients.“ Peter Alken
Monday, 17 November 2025